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Betting against the spread into the world of sports betting is very intimidating initially. A moneyline bet is a wager placed on a team to win. In any sport other than soccer, someone wins and someone loses. Using our example, the Steelers are favored to win over the Bills. There is one piece of strategy with moneyline wagering. The general consensus is that the majority of the time the betting public supports the favorite.

Ninus betting advice nfl college football betting stats

Ninus betting advice nfl

If you like betting on the go, check out which are the best sports betting apps available. The minus sign shows you which team is favored. This is really important to understand. When you see a line, you can consider it similar to an even money outcome, like a coin flip. Point spread outcomes will most often pay this amount because the professional bookmakers are very good at predicting who will win any given game and by how many points. In doing so they are essentially making the point spread wager one that is as close to equal for both sides as possible.

Therefore, the expectation they predict is supposed to be like betting on heads or tails on a coin flip. Moneyline bets are the ones that can sometimes see huge paydays for underdogs or safe returns for massive favorites. Since bookmaker predictions are expected to be accurate, the idea is that the total amount of wagers placed is evenly spread on both sides and the outcome of the game close to their estimation.

Again, this is how they reduce their risk and ensure their safe profit. To convert American odds including to other odds formats and to calculate your payout, use our handy and free odds calculator and converter. Like most things in the gambling world, the whole point is to turn a profit.

The oddsmakers want equal action on both sides because if they can do that, they reduce the risk of taking any big losses and guarantee their profit on the juice from each bet. This is why casinos and sportsbooks employ professional oddsmakers to set the lines that are most likely to draw equal interest on both sides of the bet.

That way the casino makes a profit on the commission regardless of which team wins. The value the house earns from this line is called the juice or vigorish. Basically, you can think of it as the cost of running a business.

No pun intended. Take a look at which are the sportsbooks with the fastest withdrawal. When it comes to the different sportsbooks out there it is possible to find different point spread lines but generally, most sportsbooks will have similar stats. It is worth a look to scan the various betting lines when you intend to bet on a big game, that is why WSN will always list the odds from several sportsbooks for each event.

You can check out the different sportsbooks and compare them here. Things like this happen because a sportsbook wants to reduce risk to guarantee a profit. When incoming betting shows an imbalance of public opinion or if a whale decides to make a big splash the casino will do whatever they can to tip the scales back to even avoid a potentially big loss.

Home field advantage: The edge a team is supposed to have when they play on their home field. Since the home field is a familiar turf and in front of the home crowd, teams are expected to perform better than they would if they were travelling thus giving them an edge.

Line: This is the odds, points, money line, or point spread offered on football games. Linemaker: This is someone that sets the odds, points, money lines, or point spreads for football games. Oddsmaker: This is another term for the Linemaker. It is the person who sets the odds, moneyline, or point spread for football games. Overlay: This is a term to refer to odds that are higher than they should be. These odds favor the bettor not the house. Parlay: This is a wager on two or more teams or outcomes where the selections must win in order for the bettor to win.

This is particularly important when betting on NCAA football. Player: This is a term that refers to any person that puts down a bet on any given sports event. Point Spread: This is a number of points given to the underdog by the Linemaker in order to handicap the favorite. It can also be thought of in terms of the scoring differential between the two teams. The point spread is used to even the playing field. Proposition Bet or Props: This is a bet placed on a specific aspect of the game, such as who will score first or how long the longest touch down pass will be.

Soft line: This refers to a line that has been adjusted because of the result of an action. It is not the true posted line. Underlay: This is a term that refers to odds that lower than they should be. These odds favor the house and not the bettor. A FREE click is all it takes to help any or all ten of these good causes. Betting on sports, and college football specifically, is illegal. Congress banned sports betting in while allowing it in four states -- Nevada, Delaware, Montana and Oregon -- that had already been offering it.

Las Vegas is the most popular destination if you want to make a bet on college football, where the number of 'sports books' is many. That said, if you're planning to visit a state where gambling is legal, and intend to bet, you should at least be armed with some information. First, however, a word of caution: Sports betting can be a fun and profitable venture.

However, like most good things in life there are pitfalls to be aware of. You should be able to enjoy many positive experiences as long as you bet in moderation and under control. If you or someone you know shows signs of compulsive gambling, one place to find help is Gamblers Anonymous. Below is a mini-tutorial on sports betting, the types of football bets and football betting terms.

Straight bet - Amid all the fancy and lucrative-looking bets that are available, never lose sight of the value in a standard straight bet. You probably should learn and practice this bet often before learning any others, and it should be noted that people who bet for a living or a large portion of their income place straight bets almost exclusively.

Say the Bears are a six-point favorite over the Lions and the total is To bet the Bears, you must "lay the points," meaning they must win by seven or more to cover and give you the win. Betting the underdog Lions, you are "taking" six points, and they can lose by five or fewer, or win the game outright, and you have a winning bet. If the Bears win by exactly six, both sides "push" and all bets are returned. It's also a push if the final score equals 42, otherwise the over or under will win.

Money line bet - If you are not interested in betting the point spread - although you should be, because it presents the best long-term value - another option available is the money line, in which you lay or take odds relative to the dollar with respect to your team winning or losing. If you like favorites, you're going to be betting a lot to win a little. The money line will always be listed to the right of the point spread on the odds board in a sports book.

Parlays - these might be the most popular bets out there, especially among novice and amateur bettors, perhaps because of the lure of betting a small amount for a potentially big payoff. But they are fool's gold at best. Parlays involve wagering on two or more games on the same bet following the casino's pre-determined payout scale.

Each game on a parlay must win for the bet to be a winner. This is how the sportsbooks make a lot of their money. For instance, let's say you want to bet a two-team parlay. However, the sportsbook is only going to pay you 2. The house vigorish - and your chances of winning - get worse with the more teams you add. So while some sportsbooks will let you place a teamer with astronomical odds, you probably have a better chance of being struck by lighting - twice - before winning one.

You are much better off sticking to two-team parlays exclusively, if you insist on taking poor odds and placing parlay wagers. Teaser bets - The teaser is so named because it, too, looks tempting, but if you allow yourself to get too seduced, you'll usually end up on the losing end. The teaser bet gives or takes away extra points from the team you back. However, there are some good values with teaser bets if you know how and where to find them.

For instance, the six-point teaser is an especially effective bet in the NFL, where most games are tightly contested and six points can make a world of difference. For instance, in our previous example, the Bears would go from laying six points to simply needing to win if you put them on a teaser bet. Conversely, Detroit backers could get 12 points instead of the starting six. Source: Doc's Sports Service.

This page requires JavaScript, which is not enabled on your browser. Source: Doc's Sports Service When you bet on the money line , you are betting on one side to simply win. With the money line you just have to hope your team wins rather than cover a point spread. Of course, the one downside is having to risk more money to return the same amount that a point spread bet would net you.

When the point spread was invented in Chicago by Charles McNeil the money line took a backseat. In football the money line is often a popular choice for bettors who have been burned by last-second scoring that actually had no actual affect on the outcome of the game. Money line bets tend to be even more popular with underdogs. A nice profit can be made if a touchdown or more underdog pulls off an outright win.

When betting with a point spread you are wagering that a particular team will win or lose by a certain amount of points. This pays out even-money minus the vigorish, or bookmakers take, which we will later explain further. If the final score happens to end up exactly on the number it's a tie, or 'push,' and you get your money back. These are examples of 'side' betting with a point spread. There are also 'total' wagers that refer to the total amount of points scored by both teams. The optimal situation for bookmakers is to set odds that will attract an equal amount of money on both sides, thus limiting their exposure to any one particular result.

To further explain, consider two people make a bet on each side of a game without a bookmaker.

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We have our NFL power ratings which seek to do just that. Every bettor in the world has very bad days, weeks and months. You will also have days where you get supremely unlucky. If my little sister picked my NFL bets for me over the next 20 years by using a dart board, I would simply juice out.

Behavioral finance Casual bettors especially get into trouble when they chase, which happens a lot in the NFL. On the flip side, some also do this after a big winning day and let it all ride to double up on the Sunday or Monday night game. Compare that to just 4. Look, if you simply want to throw in a parlay as a pure entertainment lottery ticket, be my guest. But if you want to start taking betting more serious, just stop. Learn from most of us who did nothing but bet exotics when we first started before learning better.

I remember personally losing my shirt betting pleasers reverse teasers when I first started betting back in high school. Parlays can actually be effective tools for professional bettors to leverage up their edge in certain cases.

However, they will almost always just erode the bottom line of less advanced bettors. NFL is hard enough to beat without giving away that much edge. If you want to play the lottery, you could just go buy a lottery ticket at the gas station. Buying points requires you to pay more money and therefore increase your breakeven percentage for that bet and weigh that against how often buying that point will help you.

For example, buying a favorite down from Well, maybe they play a version of football on another planet where field goals are worth triple. That means you should pay 10 cents to either take a favorite down from 3 or 7 or an underdog to 3 or 7 or over either number. For your reference, here are the margin of victory frequencies since that rule change since through the season:.

Buying on or off of the 3 makes the most sense of any key number. However, we really should focus in on games with a spread between 2. In our Bet Labs database, games with spreads between 2. You can also apply this same logic to full game totals as none hit at a high enough rate to make the buy worth it.

Based on our historical NFL data from , 41 was the most frequent number regarding total points scored at 3. In order to break even on a six-point teaser at , you need teams that have a greater than Nice , but not nice enough. But some books have smartened up and no longer offer six-point NFL teasers at Believe it or not, some shops used to offer them at even money. So, if you can only bet a six-point teaser with odds, do you still have an edge teasing through the 3 and 7 on both sides of an NFL teaser?

In order to break even on a two-team, six-point teaser at odds, you need to clear a hurdle rate of Regardless, try to find a book with the best possible odds for your six-point teasers; is the maximum you should ever consider. The easiest thing you can do to improve your edge is to have access to multiple books. This is common sense and just takes a little effort. Find new outlets and ensure you are always taking the best price available to you.

Luckily, our live NFL odds page will give you the best line at a legal book no matter what you want to bet. Plus, why give away free money? This might be a little more advanced, but you should always keep your eye on the betting market. You will obviously want to check in on your books periodically during the week. Plug: you can also set up alerts on the Action App.

Well, not necessarily. Or maybe there was a very respected group of bettors that loves the favorite and got down a sizable amount. What are some tips to make you a better NFL handicapper? How can you win more wagering betting on the NFL? Apricena suggests to keep things to the regular season and to work toward a goal of winning 20 units. There are games to bet on during the NFL regular season.

Remember, keep it realistic. For Apricena, his NFL-betting comfort zone means betting five games each week. Although one can certainly tailor a comfort level to his own individual needs and wants, but Apricena stresses that you should not bet more than five games per week. Apricena finds what he believes to be the best five edges on the weekly slate and bets on those games. Four of the games, Apricena bets one unit on each.

For the fifth game, he bets two units. That means Apricena is betting six units per week over the course of 17 weeks for a total of units wagered. You should be able to come up with enough adequate reasons to bet the opposite side of a game. We see it time and time again.

The media hypes one team and dumps on another, and those narratives, the headlines, drive public sentiment. This is information that you can and should use to your advantage. Recognize situations like these and act accordingly. Using the media to your advantage when betting sports is heightened exponentially when betting on the NFL.

The NFL is the league that gets the most coverage, by far, so there is a greater volume of media driving positive or negative storylines. The NFL has a rather short season in terms of volumes of games, so it can be very volatile. Just like in that race, the race on the NFL betting scene can be won with a slow and steady approach to it. In a week-to-week league with a week regular season, there is going to be a lot of variance.

Understand that.

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For a first-time sports gambler, checking out odds and betting lines in a casino sportsbook can leave you feeling less than confident.

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Ninus betting advice nfl Odds with Minus Sign Favorite The minus sign shows you which team is favored. Ninus betting advice nfl Sportsbooks use point spreads to handicap a matchup in an attempt to attract equal betting on both sides and even out the competition. However, the sportsbook is only going to pay you 2. The first number The same can be said for 3.

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This could turn into a high-scoring shootout that goes right down to the wire, and if it does then I have to back Rodgers on his home turf. Mahomes was hit in the back of the head, had his neck twisted and then banged his head on the ground as he was tackled in the third quarter, and when he attempted to get back to his feet there were worrying signs of a concussion as he struggled to maintain his balance.

While Henne did an admirable job, this Chiefs team is severely weakened when their supremely talented QB is not in the ranks. So where do we stand with Mahomes right now? However, there have been reports locally that he the QB passed all of the concussion tests after being forced out of the game because he never had a concussion to begin with. So for now, I am going to act as though Mahomes will start. What does that mean for Buffalo? Well, it clearly means that defense is going to have its work cut out in trying to stop Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce and the rest of this all-star Kansas City offense.

However, if there is a team in the AFC that can perhaps go toe-to-toe with them on the scoreboard it is Buffalo. The Bills have the firepower to compete here. So can Buffalo pull off the upset? Kansas City came out on top in what was a surprisingly low-scoring game, and although the Bills have grown offensively since that day, I am predicting disappointment for Allen and his team-mates.

I expect them to have more success on the scoreboard on Sunday night, but the Chiefs defense will make a few big plays here and there to slow down Allen, Diggs and the rest of that Buffalo offense. But if Mahomes is ruled out… well, I will find myself re-writing this preview later in the week! For now, my recommendation is to hold off betting on the AFC Championship Game until his status is confirmed. His availability is huge when it comes to the outcome of this matchup.

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This matchup report includes odds, betting predictions and a free pick against the spread. Please note that the NFL picks above for tonight's games are not computer based. All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service docsports.

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